South Africa’s 2025 Budget Highlights

South Africa's 2025 budget introduces a VAT increase to fund public services, allocates 1.03 trillion rand for infrastructure, and aims to stabilize debt. Key highlights include welfare grant boosts, economic growth forecasts, and new spending priorities.
South Africa’s 2025 Budget Highlights

- Tax Changes: - VAT increased by 0.5% in May 2025 and another 0.5% in April 2026, reaching 16%. - Additional 42.5 billion rand raised over two years to fund public services. - Welfare grants increased above inflation, more food items exempted from VAT, and fuel levy unchanged to aid low-income households.

- Infrastructure Investment: - 1.03 trillion rand allocated over three years for roads, energy, water, and sanitation. - 46.7 billion rand added to medium-term infrastructure plans. - New structure to coordinate state participation in projects and public-private partnerships. - Performance-based grants for local governments improving service delivery.

- Budget and Debt: - Budget deficit forecast at 5% of GDP for 2024-25, narrowing to 3.5% by 2027-28. - Public debt expected to peak at 76.2% of GDP in 2025-26. - Debt-service costs to peak at 21.7% of revenue in 2024-25. - Gross borrowing requirement at 415.7 billion rand for 2024-25, rising to 582 billion rand in 2025-26.

- Economic Growth: - Growth projected at 1.8% annually over the next three years. - Logistical challenges, including railways and ports, remain constraints.

- Revenue and Spending: - South African Revenue Service to receive additional 4 billion rand. - Total government spending to grow at 5.6% annually, reaching 2.83 trillion rand by 2027-28. - New allocations include: - 46.7 billion rand for infrastructure. - 35.2 billion rand to extend Covid-19 relief grants. - 23.4 billion rand for state employee pay agreements. - 8.2 billion rand for increased welfare grants. - 5 billion rand for a peacekeeping mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

- Other Initiatives: - Credit guarantee vehicle to mobilize private capital for energy, transport, and water projects. - Final 70 billion rand debt takeover for Eskom replaced with 40 billion rand advance in 2025-26. - Discussions on long-term fiscal anchors initiated.

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